If Bill doesn't hit the mid-Atlantic states it will be because this time of year high pressure gradients build up along the coast basically pushing the storm or in this case hurricane off the coast. This is the same stuff that allows you to hear USCG stations on your VHF at hundreds of miles. All it would take is a prolonged low and the path could change and then it would be anyone's best guess where it would hit land. I'll be studying my Garmin SIRIUS Weather this weekend and see if there will be a prolonged break in the high pressure fronts stacking up along the East coast.
Bill
i'm not loosing sleep over bill just yet, although this part of the 5pm discussion hints at a closer call:
SOME OF THE MODELS...SUCH AS THE GFS...NOW
SHOW A SLIGHTLY STRONGER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A
SLOWER MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
IF THIS SOLUTION IS CORRECT...BILL WOULD BE ABLE TO MOVE A LITTLE
FARTHER TO THE WEST BEFORE TURNING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.
THERE HAS BEEN A SMALL WESTWARD SHIFT IN MOST OF THE AFTERNOON
MODEL GUIDANCE...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED IN THAT
DIRECTION.
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